information marketに関するcloudgrabberのブックマーク (1)

  • An uncertain future

    NOT SO long ago, prediction markets were being tipped as a fantastic new way to forecast everything from the completion date of a vital project to a firm's annual sales. But although they have spread beyond early-adopting companies in the technology industry, they have still not become mainstream management tools. Even fervent advocates admit much remains to be done to convince sceptical managers

    cloudgrabber
    cloudgrabber 2009/03/01
     "A big hurdle facing managers using prediction markets is getting enough people to keep trading after the novelty has worn off..... Another reason prediction markets flop is that employees cannot see how the results are used, so they lose interest."
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