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2016年11月12日のブックマーク (1件)

  • Epic fail

    AS POLLING errors go, this year’s misfire was not particularly large—at least in the national surveys. Mrs Clinton is expected to win the popular vote by a bit over one percentage point once all the ballots are counted, two points short of her projection. That represents a better prediction than in 2012, when Barack Obama beat his polls by three. But America does not choose its president by popula

    AKANE_Daigo
    AKANE_Daigo 2016/11/12
    大統領選の世論調査と実際の得票のずれは、大学に行ってない白人の割合が高いほど大きい傾向がある。全体としては想定内の誤差でも、分割したグループごとに結果を予想するのは難しい。