02002-02029 (27 years): By 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test. - Long Bets
STAKES $20,000 will go to The Electronic Frontier Foundation if Kapor wins, or The Kurzweil Foundation if Kurzweil wins. The essence of the Turing Test revolves around whether a computer can successfully impersonate a human. The test is to be put into practice under a set of detailed conditions which rely on human judges being connected with test subjects (a computer and a person) solely via an in
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02011-02013 (2 years): Bitcoins will outperform the US Dollar, Gold, Silver, and the stock market by over 100 times over the next two years. - Long Bets
02002-02012 (10 years): By 2012, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times will have referred to Russia as "the world leader in software development" or words to that effect. - Long Bets
