The Dunning-Kruger effect is (mostly) a statistical artefact: Valid approaches to testing the hypothesis with individual differences data
•Conventional tests of the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis are shown to be confounded. •The Glejser test is argued to be a valid test of the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis. •Nonlinear regression is argued to be a valid test of the Dunning-Kruger hypothesis. •Failed to identify the Dunning-Kruger effect with IQ data and both valid tests. The Dunning-Kruger hypothesis states that the degree to which people can
Why is Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) still used?
•Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) has been widely used for 50 years. •PSHA rests on assumptions now known to conflict with earthquake physics. •Many damaging earthquakes occur in regions rated low-risk by PSHA hazard maps. •Seismologists and engineers should clearly acknowledge PSHA’s shortcomings. •Reliance on PSHA for decisions that affect public safety should cease. Even though it h
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https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0191886924000990
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352250X22000719
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0265964610000858?via%3Dihub
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0191886922002264
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