Today’s Nuclear North Korea Is Yesterday’s China: Lessons From History
North Korea isn’t the first Asian communist state to acquire a nuclear ICBM capability of concern to the United States. North Korea’s recent successful intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) tests have put Pyongyang on the cusp of having the means to credibly threaten the continental United States with a nuclear strike. The Trump administration has vowed to “not allow” North Korea to continue o
Imagining a ‘Finlandized’ Korea
A recent proposal sparked controversy, but it’s more feasible than it appears at first glance. The newspaper-print aphorisms regarding the North Korea question go on endlessly: “the impossible state,” “the land of bad options,” or, in the words of U.S. President Donald Trump, the land of “major, major conflict.” With the development of the Hwasong-14 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the
North Korea’s Mysterious New Islands
China isn’t the only country with suspicious island construction sites. Subscribe for ads-free reading Over the past five years, North Korea has constructed several military facilities on small islands surrounding the city of Sohae, a leading missile development and testing site. In some cases, the islands themselves were constructed; what amounted to little more than a pile of sand 20 years ago i
Tailored Deterrence: Influencing North Korean Decision-Making
Subscribe for ads-free reading With strategic realities on the Korean Peninsula becoming more “fluid” or multi-faceted through the convergence of conventional, asymmetrical, low-intensity, and non-linear threat dimensions, defense planners in the U.S.-ROK Alliance have been rethinking existing strategies for responding to different levels of threats posed by North Korea. Since assuming power four
Why Japan Has No Donald Trump
Unlike the U.S. (Trump) or U.K. (Brexit), Japan lacks a strong, anti-establishment populist movement. Subscribe for ads-free reading Populism is on the rise in advanced economies, but not in Japan. Here, the ruling coalition party won by a landslide this summer’s parliamentary upper house elections. The SEALDs (Students Emergency Action for Liberal Democracy), an activist movement, just disbanded.
What Happens If North Korea Collapses?
Subscribe for ads-free reading Kim Jong-un is not planning on giving up his rule of North Korea anytime soon. Having achieved another successful nuclear test, and successfully launching a theater ballistic missile from a submarine, Kim capped his summer by reportedly executing his Vice Premier Kim Yong-jin for slouching during Kim’s speech at 13th Supreme People’s Assembly this past June. The ann
Japan and China’s Dispute Goes Nuclear
Japan and China’s bitter PR campaign has now entered the nuclear realm. Japan and China appear to be trading nuclear barbs with one another. For some weeks now, China has been raising concerns about the amount of enriched uranium and weapons-grade plutonium Japan currently stockpiles. “We continue to urge the Japanese government to take a responsible attitude and explain itself to international co
Don’t Be Fooled: North Korea Is Getting Ready to Provoke
All signs suggest that North Korea is laying the groundwork to begin a new round of provocations. North Korea appears to be laying the groundwork to begin a new round of provocations, which could very well take the form of a missile and/or nuclear test. Despite its deliberate (and successful, in the U.S. at least) attempts to portray itself as an irrational actor, North Korea’s provocations usuall
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