Cloud Culture - Kevin Kelly -- The Technium
[Translations: Japanese] While there is only One Machine, there are many cloud computers. Each is a collective of computers acting as one computer. The Machine is the mega-cloud of all clouds. In a cloud world, all your work and data are stored on the web. For daily routines you are usually connected. Your devices are primarily gateways to the cloud. You do all your work on the web, using web-bas
Thinkism
[Translations: Japanese] Here is why you don’t have to worry about the Singularity in your lifetime: thinkism doesn’t work. First, some definitions. According to Wikipedia, the Singularity is “a theoretical future point of unprecedented technological progress, caused in part by the ability of machines to improve themselves using artificial intelligence.” According to Vernor Vinge and Ray Kurzweil
Where Attention Flows, Money Follows
[Translations: Japanese] The new rules for the new economy can be summarized as: Where ever attention flows, money will follow. Almost anything else except attention can be manufactured as a commodity. Luxury goods are only luxuries temporarily. They quickly are counterfeited and commodified. Premium brands are only premium because they garner a surplus of attention. Maintain an incoming flow of a
13 Generations
[Translations: Japanese] A wise society would take the long view. When accessing its environment, for instance, a smart culture might ask itself what consequences would alterations in genetic sequences of wild or domesticated organisms, or introduced species, have in one thousand years? What happens to spent nuclear fuel over 1,000 years? But 1,000 years is too distant and remote to even contempla
The Wisdom of Public Prediction Markets
The Wisdom of Public Prediction Markets Prediction markets continue to proliferate. These communities use money to bet on outcomes in the future. If a prediction comes true, the winners reap the money from the losing betters. The price of a bet, or share, fluctuates over time — and thus can be used as a signal for the community’s opinion. In theory a prediction market taps into the “wisdom of crow
A Trillion Hours
[Translations: Japanese] The web is pretty big. Researchers at Google won’t say how many pages Google indexes, but they recently said that their inspection of the web reveals that it has more than one trillion unique urls. It’s difficult to know what to count as a unique page, because as they explain, some sites such as a web calendar page can generate an infinite number of pages if you click on t
Literature-Space Vs. Cyberspace
[Translations: Japanese] This post is yet another response in the debate over reading on the web. In addition to the forum bubbling on the Edge and Encyclopedia Britannica, the New York Times chimed in with a long piece on what it means to read online. I find this question to be a good canary for the many other questions about new technology: is this stuff really new, and if it is, in what way is
The Google Way of Science
[Translations: Japanese] There’s a dawning sense that extremely large databases of information, starting in the petabyte level, could change how we learn things. The traditional way of doing science entails constructing a hypothesis to match observed data or to solicit new data. Here’s a bunch of observations; what theory explains the data sufficiently so that we can predict the next observation?
Technologies That Connect Kevin Kelly -- The Technium
[Translations: Japanese] Every month the Long Now foundation hosts its Seminar on Long-Term Thinking. I serve as a sort of co-host, winnowing questions from the audience to the speaker. This month’s speaker was Iqbal Quadir, formerly at Harvard and now at MIT. I met Iqbal at least 10 years ago and have been following his adventures in changing the world one cell phone at a time. Iqbal’s talk focus
The Case Against 1000 True Fans
[Translations: Japanese, Portuguese] My 1000 True Fans post provoked much discussion on other blogs. One blogger mentioned in passing that Brian Austin Whitney had suggested a very similar idea a few years ago. I had not heard Whitney, nor his proposition, and I missed this reference while researching, but I am impressed with how convergent our ideas are. Whitney organized Just Plain Folks, a comm
The Reality of Depending on True Fans
[Translations: Japanese, Portuguese] I have been researching new business models for artists working in the low end of the long tail. How can one make a living in a micro-niche? Is it even possible, particularly in this realm of no-cost copies? I proposed the idea of artists directly cultivating 1000 True Fans, which I wrote up in a previous post. It was a nice thesis that got a lot of blog-attent
Zillionics
[Translations: French, Japanese] More is different. Large quantities of something can transform the nature of those somethings. Or as Stalin said, “Quantity has its a quality all its own.” Computer scientist J. Storrs Hall, in “Beyond AI“, writes: If there is enough of something, it is possible, indeed not unusual, for it to have properties not exhibited at all in small, isolated examples. The dif
Better Than Free
[Translations: Belarusian, Chinese, Estonian, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Polish, Portuguese, Russian, Spanish, Turkish] The internet is a copy machine. At its most foundational level, it copies every action, every character, every thought we make while we ride upon it. In order to send a message from one corner of the internet to another, the protocols of communication demand that the whol
Four Stages in the Internet of Things
[Translations: Japanese] I’m making no bets whether the new buzz word “graph” will replace the still useful but overexposed terms of network and web. (I would have bet against the word “blog” ever being uttered by someone not smirking.) But it doesn’t matter. This short posting entitled the Giant Global Graph by Tim Berners-Lee, which blesses the hip use of “graph,” is the best summation of the se
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Fossil Cities
Evidence of a Global SuperOrganism
The Expansion of Ignorance
People Want To Pay
Wagging the Long Tail of Love
Will We Let Google Make Us Smarter?