Roberto Bonfatti(ノッティンガム大)とKevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke(オックスフォード大)という2人の研究者が「Growth, Import Dependence and War」というNBER論文を書いている。 以下はその要旨。 Existing theories of pre-emptive war typically predict that the leading country may choose to launch a war on a follower who is catching up, since the follower cannot credibly commit to not use their increased power in the future. But it was Japan who launched a war