シリコンバレーでドットコムバブルがはじけた後、IT業界のリーダーの間で「われわれの業界も成熟した。今後の成長率は、GDP全体の成長率と変わらなくなるだろう」というのが流行になったことがあった。 しかし、そのような見方はいささか視野が狭い。半導体業界とソフトウェア業界の先に目を向ければ、今日すでに存在する技術を基盤としてサービスを提供しようとする巨大な産業が見えてくるはずだ。この巨大な産業と持続的な成長を隔てているのはテクノロジー自体の壁ではなく、そのテクノロジーを導入し利用する上での文化的な壁である。そして、この壁がなくなるには時間がかかる。 この文化的な壁は、何もIT分野に限ったものではない。これまでにも同じ壁を乗り越えて発展してきた例がある。そして、多くの重要な技術の歴史を振り返ってみれば、個別化、標準化、ユーティリティ化という、3つの発展段階を経ていることが分かる。 歴史家のJill
You are about to permanently delete this entry. When you delete an entry, you also delete any comments and trackbacks associated with it. This action cannot be undone. Delete|Cancel 3月13日から日本科学未来館で開催されているROBO-ONE7thに協賛しました. http://www.microsoft.com/japan/presspass/detail.aspx?newsid=2222 なぜROBO-ONEに?とよく聞かれるのですが,いくつかの理由があります. まず,二足歩行ロボットの市場が非常にエキサイティングだということです.最近はプログラミング環境が充実する一方で,プログラマになりたいと考える人々は
You are about to permanently delete this entry. When you delete an entry, you also delete any comments and trackbacks associated with it. This action cannot be undone. Delete|Cancel 先日,インフラ系の会社の方と「Skypeは技術革新か」という議論をした.その方は「Skypeのトラヒックは通信事業者が捌いていて,結局コストがかかっているのに利用者に負担させる構造がないだけだから,技術革新によってコストが下がっているのではなくて,ただ乗りに過ぎないのではないか」という意見で,確かに一理ある気もする. しかし,同じP2Pでもファイル交換なら通信事業者に過度の負担をかけているけれども,VoIPがそうかというと怪しい.通
© 2005 Mitchell Kapor. The text of this online article is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution Only License; see http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/. EDUCAUSE Review, vol. 40, no. 2 (March/April 2005): 72–73. Mitchell Kapor, the founder of Lotus Development Corp. and co-founder of the Electronic Frontier Foundation, is President and Chair of the Open Source Applications Founda
Now, next, and beyond: Tracking need-to-know trends at the intersection of business and technology AI/ML Few technologies have the potential to change the nature of work and how we live as artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). Future of the Firm Everything from new organizational structures and payment schemes to new expectations, skills, and tools will shape the future of the fi
In January I spent a week in India in part to wrap my head around C.K Prahalad's "Bottom of the Pyramid" theory, which in many ways resembles the Long Tail. Are they in fact the same? As I mentioned in an earlier post, The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid: Eradicating Poverty Through Profits, like the Long Tail, is about finding ways to efficiently address sub-economic markets. In this case, P
This week has brought more evidence that radio is an industry in the midst of disruptive transformation. The big news was that Viacom is planning to split off its broadcasting side, including the troubled Infinity radio division. But there were many smaller signals as well that radio as we know it is about to change. For instance: * Arbitron and comScore Media Metrix released the online radio rat
UPDATED I remain an admirer of Google, but like many other people I'm worried that the company is getting too big for its virtual britches. As Jeff Jarvis and others have noted lately, there's a worrisome bent toward "trust us" in the operation of Google News, a site I like but find frequently frustrating. Google News embarrassed itself by including a disgusting Nazi-ish site (I will not link to i
by skrenta at 12:46 AM We're very pleased to announce that Topix.net has taken a majority equity investment from three of the largest newspaper and media firms in the US -- Knight Ridder, Tribune and Gannett. We see a huge opportunity with this deal, and wanted to share why we did it, what it means and what we're doing going forward. First, the basics: We're taking a majority equity investment
More than 5,000 companies count on our digital courses and more to guide their teams through the tools and technologies that drive business outcomes. We can help yours too. New AI policy for O’Reilly authors and talent O’Reilly president Laura Baldwin shares the company’s ethical approach to leveraging GenAI tools and ensuring O’Reilly experts are compensated for their work. See it now It’s time t
However, Dunbar's work itself suggests that a community size of 150 will not be a mean for a community unless it is highly incentivized to remain together. We can see hints of this in Dunbar's description of the number and what it means: The group size predicted for modern humans by equation (1) would require as much as 42% of the total time budget to be devoted to social grooming. ... My suggesti
You can download the core part of the material that follows as a PDF presentation entitled Social Software for Set-Top Boxes (4Mb). A buddy-list for television: Imagine a buddy-list on your television that you could bring onto your screen with the merest tap of a ‘friends’ key on your remote control. The buddy list would be the first stage of an interface that would let you add and remove friends,
Perspective, Pontification and Propoganda about Entrepreneurship and Venture Capital, brought to you by David Hornik of August Capital. I am extremely excited to announce that my partners at August Capital and I have raised a new fund. This fund is the seventh in August Capital’s twenty year history. And while the venture capital industry has seen a fair amount of change over the last twenty years
One of the most popular sessions at PC Forum was the Roundtable on User-generated Metadata. Moderated by David Weinberger and Esther Dyson, it engaged the former audience in a conversation. Good thing too, as many of the experts were in the room. You can see from my raw notes that it covered the topic widely. But the gem was from two comments by JP Rangaswami, CIO of Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserste
Friendster members can sign up as fans of Pamela Anderson as part of a promotion for a new comedy series, Stacked. More than a year after "social networking" became the leading buzzword in internet startup circles, companies in the sector haven't gained the traction early enthusiasts predicted. Still, many of the bigger networking services say the number of users is growing steadily, and if they'r
Jeff Clavier's Software Only "It's the Software, Stupid" Musings, rants and thoughts of an early stage investor (aka a Super Angel) about Web 2.0, Search, Social Media, Monetization, Venture Capital, Gaming, SAAS, Mobile, etc. I quite liked the coverage of PaidContent on the Topix.net deal, particularly their final summary: Topix.net The Morning After. The deal itself is interesting, and as such h
March 2005 (This essay is derived from a talk at the Harvard Computer Society.) You need three things to create a successful startup: to start with good people, to make something customers actually want, and to spend as little money as possible. Most startups that fail do it because they fail at one of these. A startup that does all three will probably succeed. And that's kind of exciting, when yo
March 2005 (Parts of this essay began as replies to students who wrote to me with questions.) Recently I've had several emails from computer science undergrads asking what to do in college. I might not be the best source of advice, because I was a philosophy major in college. But I took so many CS classes that most CS majors thought I was one. I was certainly a hacker, at least. Hacking What shoul
« Software's Top 10 2005 Trends: #4 Service Oriented Architectures | Main | Software's Top 10 2005 Trends: #2 Open Source » 03/15/2005 Software's Top 10 2005 Trends: #3 Software As A Service Software as a service has a bit of a bad reputation thanks largely to the Application Service Provider (ASP) debacle of the mid-1990s. Back then, a huge amount of money was poured into ASPs such as US Interne
A Conversation with Steve Bourne, Eric Allman, and Bryan Cantrill In part one of a two-part series, three Queue editorial board members discuss the practice of software engineering. A Conversation with Erik Meijer and José Blakeley The Microsoft perspective on ORM A Conversation with Kurt Akeley and Pat Hanrahan Graphics veterans debate the evolution of the GPU Tim Bray’s Waterloo was no crushing
Just about a year ago, technology writer Danny O'Brien strung together the words "life" and "hacks" and fired off synapses throughout the geek community. After a presentation entitled "Life Hacks - Tech Secrets of Overprolific Alpha Geeks" at the 2004 O'Reilly Emerging Technology conference, discussions of productivity, automation and hacks that get things done exploded. Danny's concept of life ha
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