Methodology - NYTimes.comOur Senate forecasts proceed in seven distinct stages, each of which is described in detail below. For more detail on some of the terms below please see our FiveThirtyEight glossary. Stage 1. Weighted Polling AveragePolls released into the public domain are collected together and averaged, with the components weighted on three factors:* Recency. More recent polls receive a higher weight. The formu
