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CSIS developed a wargame for a Chinese amphibious invasion of Taiwan and ran it 24 times. In most scenarios, the United States/Taiwan/Japan defeated a conventional amphibious invasion by China and maintained an autonomous Taiwan. However, this defense came at high cost. The United States and its allies lost dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft, and tens of thousands of servicemembers. Taiwan saw
With the evident failure of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, many experts have jumped to explain why Putin’s invasion was doomed to fail. This is classic Monday morning quarterbacking. Evaluating Putin’s decision requires capturing what was known at the time, not what became evident later. Putin’s decision was rational, though risky, like all judgments to go to war. He gambled and lost, but that did
While other studies have noted China's influence in Japan is limited, this new report seeks to explain why that is the case. The report considers the malign and benign tactics used by the Chinese Communist Party in Japanese society; evaluates the objectives and effectiveness of these tactics; considers the factors that can explain Japan's passive and active resilience toward foreign influence; and
Behind every CSIS event, publication, and policy initiative, there is a large community of dedicated individuals driving the mission of CSIS. These individuals work with CSIS in a number of ways. From our research assistants to our distinguished trustees, each member of the Center fulfills a crucial role for CSIS’s achievement. Below, find the avenues of participation for CSIS leadership and staff
Critical Questions by Samm Sacks Published October 26, 2017 The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) 19th Party Congress concluded on October 24. The week-long session marked a twice in a decade leadership reshuffle and codified President Xi Jinping’s elevated status in China’s political system. Yet, the Party Congress has received less attention for what it reveals about the leadership’s approach to the
CSIS publishes daily, independent, bipartisan analysis — search our analysis below. CSIS produces transcripts of selected events and multimedia. For more of our interactive analysis and micro-websites, see Web Projects or visit CSIS’s iDeas Lab. Sign up for updates and to subscribe. Read CSIS’s reprint permissions.
Congressional Testimony by Bonnie S. Glaser Published September 21, 2016 Bonnie S. Glaser, Senior Adviser for Asia and Director, China Power Project Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), testified before the House Armed Services Subcommittee on “Seapower and Projection Forces in the South China Sea”.
A New Phase for Japan-China Ties After the South China Sea Ruling The ruling on July 12 by the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) denied China’s sovereignty claims in the South China Sea. Based on the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), the court concluded that the “Nine Dash Line” claimed by China, which covered most of the South China Sea, had no legal basis. The award looks like an
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s August 14 Statement on the 70th Anniversary of the End of the Second World War Q1: Why was Abe’s statement so significant? A1: August 15 marks the seventieth anniversary of Japan’s surrender at the end of the Second World War. This landmark date comes at a time of growing nationalistic sentiment across Northeast Asia and also coincides with the 100th anniversary of Japa
A short history, supplemented by timelines of key events, a repository of official documents, and interviews with experts, to document the remarkable evolution of this partnership from 1951 to 2024. Digital Report by Nicholas Szechenyi, Christopher B. Johnstone, and Leah Klaas — July 11, 2024
Commentary by Andrew C. Kuchins Published March 3, 2014 Vladimir Putin has dramatically raised the stakes with what amounts to a stealth annexation of Crimea this weekend, securing in the process a unanimous vote from the Russian parliament allowing for the deployment of Russian military forces in Ukraine. To date, the Obama administration's response, including Friday's vague warning about "costs,
This new report on the U.S.-Japan alliance comes at a time of drift in the relationship. As leaders in both the United States and Japan face a myriad of other challenges, the health and welfare of one of the world’s most important alliances is endangered. Although the arduous efforts of Assistant Secretary of State Kurt Campbell and his colleagues in both governments have largely kept the alliance
Senior Adviser (Non-resident) and Henry A. Kissinger Chair Michael Green is senior adviser (non-resident) and Henry A. Kissinger Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Prior to June 2022, he served as senior vice president for Asia and Japan Chair and director of Asian studies at the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University, until his appointm
Synopsis: At a time of global uncertainty and transition, enduring U.S. interests demand a clear-eyed look over the horizon to grasp the challenges ahead and the potential opportunities to best shape the emerging world order. With half the world's population, one-third of the global economy, and growing economic, financial, technological, and political weight in the international system, Asia is
Prime Minister Kishida Fumio of Japan announced on August 14 that he will not seek reelection as leader of the ruling party, effectively ending his tenure as prime minister. The CSIS Japan Chair addresses his legacy and next steps in a period of political transition.
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