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In January 2022, Brookings Metro published a report that assessed the impact of long Covid on the labor market. Data on the condition’s prevalence was limited, so the report used various studies to make a conservative estimate: 1.6 million full-time equivalent workers could be out of work due to long Covid. With 10.6 million unfilled jobs at the time, long Covid potentially accounted for 15% of th
Could a right to remote work stop declining birth rates? LIVE Could a right to remote work stop declining birth rates?
Rural policy priorities are starting to emerge from the presidential campaigns—with different outlooks on what matters
Why did the budget deficit grow so much in FY 2023? And what does this imply about the future debt trajectory?
What everyone should know about rural America ahead of the 2024 election
Market reactions to the BOJ’s announcements have been mixed, likely because the announcements were about a change in policy framework, not a change in policy stance per se. In particular, the announced target for the ten-year JGB yield is close to its current market rate, and no significant changes were made to other parts of the BOJ’s program, including the negative interest rate on bank reserves
“Let us suppose now that one day a helicopter flies over this community and drops an additional $1,000 in bills from the sky, which is, of course, hastily collected by members of the community. Let us suppose further that everyone is convinced that this is a unique event which will never be repeated.” (Milton Friedman, “The Optimum Quantity of Money,” 1969) “The deflation speech saddled me with th
Source: Table 5.11, IEA Third International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), 1994-1995, page 160. Note that the data support the view that eighth grade Japanese teachers emphasize reasoning more often than U.S. teachers. But the data also suggest that the difference can only explain a trivial amount of the Japan-U.S. test score gap. The gap hovers around 100 points across response categori
The fiscal frontier: Projecting AI’s long-term impact on the US fiscal outlook
Three of the most important objectives for economic policy are: Achieving full employment Keeping inflation low and stable Maintaining financial stability Larry Summers’ secular stagnation hypothesis holds that achieving these three goals simultaneously may prove very difficult. (See Larry’s statement of the case and a collection of short pieces on the subject by prominent economists.) The term “s
Opening paths to good jobs—Welcoming Eduardo Levy Yeyati back to Brookings
Interest rates around the world, both short-term and long-term, are exceptionally low these days. The U.S. government can borrow for ten years at a rate of about 1.9 percent, and for thirty years at about 2.5 percent. Rates in other industrial countries are even lower: For example, the yield on ten-year government bonds is now around 0.2 percent in Germany, 0.3 percent in Japan, and 1.6 percent in
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PAUL R. KRUGMAN Massachusetts Institute of Technology It's Baaack: Japan's Slumpand the Returnof the LiquidityTrap THE LIQUIDITYTRAP-that awkward condition in which monetary policy loses its grip because the nominal interest rate is essentially zero, in which the quantity of money becomes irrelevant because money and bonds are essentially perfect substitutes-played a central role in the early yea
Bridges or battlegrounds? American cities in the US-China relationship
The audacious goal of building 10,000 affordable homes in California’s Coachella Valley
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