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The SF Fed is the largest District within the Federal Reserve System. We serve all Americans and countless global citizens through our work supervising banks, providing payment services, conducting research to inform monetary policy, and directly engaging with communities in our region to learn how Americans are experiencing the real economy. This page collects the extensive work of the SF Fed acc
Researchers have made great strides in improving our understanding of the effects of unconventional monetary policy. Although further study is needed, the evidence from the past few years demonstrates that both forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases are useful policy tools when short-term interest rates are constrained by the zero bound. The following is adapted from a presentation made
A key question for monetary policymakers, as well as participants in financial markets, is: “Where are interest rates headed?” In the long run, economists assume that nominal interest rates will tend toward some equilibrium, or “natural,” real rate of interest plus an adjustment for expected long-run inflation. Defining the natural rate of interest Measuring the natural rate of interest Estimating
Thank you for your interest in the monetary policy game, Chair the Fed. The game has been a useful and fun tool to learn more about monetary policy. However, the Fed has updated its approach to monetary policy, and the changes are not readily accommodated within the existing structure of the game. As of June 1, 2021, the game is no longer available. New SF Fed Resource: FOMC Rewind FOMC Rewind is
The Economic Research Department conducts research on a wide range of topics in support of the Federal Reserve’s policy and public outreach functions. Research is widely disseminated, including in leading peer-reviewed scholarly journals. The department has an active visiting scholar program, collaborates with global research groups, and hosts the Center for Pacific Basin Studies.
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